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GMAT写作Argument系列范文整理（200）

2018-06-27 20:24:00来源：网络

　　提高GMAT写作水平，并不是一朝一夕的事情，大家需要更多的时间来积累各种写作素材，其实在积累的过程中，写作范文是同学们必备内容之一。因此新东方在线GMAT频道也为大家整理了经典范文，供大家学习！

　　【点击查看GMAT写作Argument系列范文完整版】

　　文章正文

　　91. “Government should establish regulations to reduce or eliminate any suspected health hazards in the environment, even when the scientific studies of these health hazards are incomplete or contradictory.”

　　Discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the opinion stated above. Support your position with reasons and/or examples from your own experience, observations, or reading.

　　The stated opinion is that government should regulate any suspected environmental health hazards, even if relevant scientific evidence is conflicting or incomplete. While I agree that it’s often wiser to err on the side of caution, I think the speaker’s blanket (1: covering all members of a group or class *a blanket wage increase* 2: effective or applicable in all instances) assertion goes too far. Government reaction to specific cases should be decided on the basis of two considerations: (1) the degree of evidential uncertainty, and (2) the seriousness of the risk involved.

　　The greatest uncertainty arises from contradictory evidence. Consider an analogy taken from medical research, where one study links caffeine to increased risk of heart disease, while another claims there is no correlation between the two. Provided that both studies used sufficiently large and random samples, and the results were statistically significant in each case, it is difficult to decide whether to give up coffee. If the effect in question were a little sleep disturbance, then it might be reasonable to sustain moderate intake of caffeine. But with a risk as serious as cancer, it would be reasonable to abstain, pending more conclusive evidence.

　　Lesser degrees of uncertainty stem from incomplete evidence. One highly publicized case involved early studies suggesting that chloroflourocarbon emissions accelerate ozone depletion in our atmosphere. Some scientists were unsure whether the models were correct; CFC-producing businesses took their case against regulation to Congress and the public, arguing that the scientific evidence was inconclusive. But of course, waiting for conclusive evidence could mean the eventual destruction of life on our planet. The U.S. government wisely decided first to limit, and then prohibit most CFC production. The risks of being wrong in this case are enormous; today most of the international community is working toward the virtual elimination of chloroflourocarbons.

　　In sum, I believe it is unreasonable to give blanket prescriptions concerning government reaction to health hazards in the environment. Where uncertainty is greatest, and risks are relatively small, it would be wise to wait for more scientific evidence. But when the risks are great, government should regulate against environmental health hazards, even in the face of uncertainty.

　　　

　　

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